P.P.Shirshov Institute of Oceanology
Sea Atmosphere Interaction And Climate Laboratory

Southern Hemisphere
cyclone tracks
Gulev Sergey Konstantinovich
head of the laboratory


Zolina, O., A. Dufour, S. Gulev, and G. Stenchikov Regional hydrological cycle over the Red Sea in ERA-Interim reanalysis. J. Hydrometeor. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-16-0048.1

Brodeau, L., B. Barnier, S. Gulev, and C. Woods Climatologically significant effects of some approximations in the bulk parameterizations of turbulent air-sea fluxes. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 2016, doi:10.1175/JPO-D-16-0169.1

Volosciuk, C., D. Maraun, V. Semenov, N. Tilinina, S.K. Gulev, and M. Latif Rising Mediterranean Sea Surface Temperatures Amplify Extreme Summer Precipitation in Central Europe Nature Sci. Rep. 6, 32450; doi: 10.1038/srep32450

Semmler, T., L. Stulic, T. Jung, N. Tilinina, C. Campos, S. Gulev, and D. Koracin Seasonal Atmospheric Responses to Reduced Arctic Sea Ice in an Ensemble of Coupled Model Simulations J. Climate, 29, 5893-5913, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0586.1

Groisman, P.Ya., O. N. Bulygina, X. Yin, R. S. Vose, S. K. Gulev, I. Hanssen-Bauer and E. Førland Recent changes in the frequency of freezing precipitation in North America and Northern Eurasia. Environ. Res. Lett., 11, 045007, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/045007

Dufour, A., O. Zolina, and S. K. Gulev Atmospheric moisture transport to the Arctic: assessment of reanalyses and analysis of transport components. J. Climate, 29, 5061-5081, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0559.1

Kravtsov, S., N. Tilinina, Y. Zyulyaeva, and S. Gulev Empirical modeling and stochastic simulation of sea-level pressure variability. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol., 55, 1197-1219, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-15-0186.1


S. K. Gulev, M. Latif The origins of a climate oscillation Nature, 521, 428-430, doi:10.1038/521428a

Sergey Kravtsov, Irina Rudeva, Sergey Gulev Reconstructing sea-level pressure variability via a feature tracking approach Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 72, 487-505, DOI:10.1175/JAS-D-14-0169.1


Irina Rudeva, Sergey K. Gulev, Ian Simmonds and Natalia Tilinina The sensitivity of characteristics of cyclone activity to identification procedures in tracking algorithms Tellus A 2014, 66, 24961, http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v66.24961

S. A. Josey, L. Yu, S. Gulev, X. Jin, N. Tilinina, B. Barnier, and L. Brodeau Unexpected impacts of the Tropical Pacific array on reanalysis surface meteorology and heat fluxes Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 6213–6220, doi:10.1002/2014GL061302, 2014

P. Groisman, S. Gulev, S. Maksyutov Earth System Studies in Northern Eurasia. Eos, Vol. 95, No. 16, 133–140

Olga Zolina, Clemens Simmer, Alice Kapala, Pavel Shabanov, Paul Becker, Hermann Mächel, Sergey Gulev, Pavel Groisman Precipitation Variability and Extremes in Central Europe Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 995–1002, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00134.1

Natalia Tilinina, Sergey K. Gulev, and David H. Bromwich New view of Arctic cyclone activity from the Arctic system reanalysis Geophysical Research Letters


Gulev, S.K., M. Latif, N. Keenlyside, W. Park, K.P. Koltermann North Atlantic Ocean control on surface heat flux on multidecadal timescales Nature, 499, 464–467, doi:10.1038/nature12268

Kravtsov, S., and S. K. Gulev Kinematics of eddy–mean flow interaction in an idealized atmospheric model. J. Amosph. Sci., 70, 2574-2595, 2013, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0309.1

Tilinina, N., S.K. Gulev, I.Rudeva, and K.P.Koltermann Comparing cyclone life cycle characteristics and their interannual variability in different reanalyses. J. Climate, 26, 2013, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00777.1

Neu, U., M. G. Akperov, N. Bellenbaum, R. Benestad, R. Blender, R. Caballero, A. Cocozza, H. F. Dacre, Y. Feng, K. Fraedrich, J. Grieger, S. Gulev, J. Hanley, T. Hewson, M. Inatsu, K. Keay, S. F. Kew, I. Kindem, G. C. Leckebusch, M. L. R. Liberato, P. Lionello, I. I. Mokhov, J. G. Pinto, C. C. Raible, M. Reale, I. Rudeva, M. Schuster, I. Simmonds, M. Sinclair, M. Sprenger, N. D. Tilinina, I. F. Trigo, S. Ulbrich, U. Ulbrich, X. L. Wang, H. Wernli IMILAST – a community effort to intercompare extratropical cyclone detection and tracking algorithms: assessing method-related uncertainties. Bull. Am. Meteor. Soc., 93, 529-547, 2013, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00154.1

Zolina, O., C. Simmer, K. P. Belyaev, S. K. Gulev, K. P. Koltermann Changes in European wet an dry spells over the last decades. J. Climate, 26, 2022-2047, 2013, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00498.1

Ulbrich. U., G. C. Leckebusch, J. Grieger, M. Schuster, M. Akperov, M. Yu. Bardin, Y. Feng, S. Gulev, M. Inatsu, K. Keay, S. F. Kew, M. L. R. Liberato, P. Lionello, I. I. Mokhov, U. Neu, J. G. Pinto, C. C. Raible, M. Reale, I. Rudeva, I. Simmonds, N. D. Tilinina, I. F. Trigo, S. Ulbrich, X. L. Wang, H. Wernli Are Greenhouse Gas Signals of Northern Hemisphere winter extra-tropical cyclone activity dependent on the identification and tracking algorithm? Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol. 22, No. 1, 61–68, 2013


Gulev, S.K., and K.P. Belyaev Probability distribution characteristics for surface air-sea turbulent heat fluxes over the global ocean. J. Climate, 25, 184-206, 2012, doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4211.1

Smirnov, A., A. M. Sayer, B. N. Holben, N. C. Hsu, S. M. Sakerin, A. Macke, N. B. Nelson, Y. Courcoux, T. J. Smyth, P. Croot, P. K. Quinn, J. Sciare, S. K. Gulev, S. Piketh, R. Losno, S. Kinne, and V. F. Radionov Effect of wind speed on aerosol optical depth over remote oceans, based on data from the Maritime Aerosol Network. Atmos. Meas. Tech., 5, 377–388, 2012

Zuev, V., V. A. Semenov, E. A. Shelekhova, S. K. Gulev, and P. Koltermann Evaluation of the Impact of Oceanic Heat Transport in the North Atlantic and Barents Sea on the Northern Hemispheric Climate. Doklady Earth Sciences, 2012, Vol. 445, Part 2, pp. 1006–1010


Smirnov, A., B. N. Holben, D. M. Giles, I. Slutsker, N. T. O’Neill, T. F. Eck, A. Macke, P. Croot, Y. Courcoux, S. M. Sakerin, T. J. Smyth, T. Zielinski, G. Zibordi, J. I. Goes, M. J. Harvey, P. K. Quinn, N. B. Nelson, V. F. Radionov, C. M. Duarte, R. Losno, J. Sciare, K. J. Voss, S. Kinne, N. R. Nalli, E. Joseph, K. Krishna Moorthy, D. S. Covert, S. K. Gulev, G. Milinevsky, P. Larouche, S. Belanger, E. Horne, M. Chin, L. A. Remer, R. A. Kahn, J. S. Reid, M. Schulz, C. L. Heald, J. Zhang, K. Lapina, R. G. Kleidman, J. Griesfeller, B. J. Gaitley, Q. Tan, and T. L. Diehl Maritime aerosol network as a component of AERONET – first results and comparison with global aerosol models and satellite retrievals. Atmos. Meas. Tech.,4, 583–597, 2011

В.Г. Григорьева, С.К. Гулев Аномальные ветровые волны в Мировом океане по данным попутных судовых наблюдений ФУНДАМЕНТАЛЬНАЯ И ПРИКЛАДНАЯ ГИДРОФИЗИКА, 2011, том 4, № 4

Gulev, S.K., S. Woodruff Achievements in marine climatology. Int. J. Climatol., 31, 2011, 949-950

Rudeva, I., and S.K. Gulev Composite analysis of the North Atlantic extratropical cyclones in NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2011, 1419-1436.

Yulia Zyulyaeva, Irina Rudeva, and Sergey Gulev Centennial and decadal scale changes of synoptic activity in 20C Reanalysis (1871-2008): reliability and evaluation Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 13, EGU2011-4411, 2011, EGU General Assembly


Brodeau, L., B. Barnier, A. Treguier, T. Penduff, and S. Gulev, 2010 An ERA40-based atmospheric forcing for global ocean circulation models. Ocean Modelling, 31, 88?104, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2009.10.005

Gulev, S.K. and coauthors Surface energy and CO2 fluxes and sea ice for ocean monitoring and prediction. ESA special volume on OceanObs’09 Plenary White Paper at Oceanobs-09, Venice, Italy, September 2010.

Zolina, O., C. Simmer, S. K. Gulev and S. Kollet Changing structure of European precipitation: longer wet periods leasing to stronger extremes. Geophys. Res. Lett, VOL. 37, L06704, 2010, doi:10.1029/2010GL042468

Irina Rudeva, Yulia Zyulyaeva, and Sergey Gulev Cyclone activity over the Northern Hemisphere in the first part of the 20th century from 20C reanalysis Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 12, EGU2010-6686, 2010, EGU General Assembly


Zolina, O., C. Simmer, K.P.Belyaev, A. Kapala, S.K. Gulev Improving estimates of heavy and extreme precipitation using daily records from European rain gauges. J. Hydrometorol., 10, 2009, 701-716.

Zveryaev, I.I. and S. K. Gulev Seasonality in secular changes and interannual variability of european air temperature during the twentieth century. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114, D02110, 2009, doi:10.1029/2008JD010624, 2009

Рудева, И.А., А.В.Гавриков, С.К.Гулев, С.М.Шаповалов Диагностика и моделирование жизненного цикла атмосферных внетропических циклонов. Изменения окружающей среды и климата (под ред. академика Н.П.Лаверова). МАИК, Наука, М., с. 188-229.


Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, S. Bachner, S.K. Gulev, H. Maechel Seasonally dependent changes of precipitation extremes over Germany since 1950 from a very dense observational network. Journal of Geophysical Research, vol. 113, D06110, 2008, doi:10.1029/2007JD008393, 2008

С. К. Гулев, В. М. Катцов, О. Н. Соломина Глобальное потепление продолжается (RUSSIAN). Вестник Российской Академии Наук, 2008, том 78, №1, стр. 20-27

Löptien, U., O. Zolina, S. K. Gulev, M. Latif, V. Soloviov Cyclone life cycle characteristics over the Northern Hemisphere in coupled GCMs. Clim. Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0355-5 Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-007-0355-5


M. P. Aleksandrova, S. K. Gulev, and A. V. Sinitsyn An Improvement of Parametrization of Short-Wave Radiation at the Sea Surface on the Basis of Direct Measurements in the Atlantic ISSN 1068-3739, Russian Meteorology and Hydrology, 2007, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp. 245–251


Rudeva, I., and S.K. Gulev Climatology of cyclone size characteristics and their changes during the cyclone life cycle. Monthly Weather Review, 135, 2007, pp. 2568-2587

Sergey K. Gulev,Bernard Barnier, Jean-Marc Molines and Thierry Penduff Impact of spatial resolution of simulated surface water mass transformation in the Atlantic. Ocean Modelling 19 (2007) 138–160

Alexandrova M., Sinitsyn A., and Gulev S. Уточнение параметризации коротковолновой радиации на поверхности океана на основе прямых измерений в Атлантическом океане. [RUSSIAN] Метеорология и Гидрология, 2007, N4 [Meteorology and Hydrology, 2007, N4]

Gulev, S.K., T. Jung, and E. Ruprecht Estimation of the impact of sampling errors in the VOS observations on air-sea fluxes. Part I. J. Climate, 20, 279-301.

Bedacht, E., S.K.Gulev, A Macke Intercomparison of global cloud cover fields over oceans from the VOS observations and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis. Int. J. Climatol. DOI: 10.1002/joc.1490

Belyaev, K.P., and S.K. Gulev A retrieval of the climatological ocean-atmosphere turbulent fluxes by using the properties of special type distribution WSEAS TRANSACTIONS ON HEAT AND MASS TRANSFER Issue 5, Vol. 1, May 2006, ISSN 1790-5044, pp 597-603


Barnier, B., G. Madec, T. Penduff, J.-M. Molines, A.-M. Treguier, A. Beckmann, A. Biastoch, C. B?ning, J. Dengg, S. Gulev, J. Le Sommer, E. Remy, C. Talandier, S. Theetten, M. Maltrud and A. Coward Impact of partial steps and momentum advection schemes in a global ocean circulation model at eddy permitting resolution. Ocean Dynamics, 56, 1616-7228, DOI:10.1007/s10236-006-0065-2

Beranger, K., B. Barnier, S.K. Gulev, and M. Crepon Comparing twenty years of precipitation estimates from different sources over the world ocean. Ocean Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s10236-006-0065-2

Jung, T., S.K. Gulev, I. Rudeva and V. Soloviov Sensitivity of extratropical cyclone characteristics to horizontal resolution in the ECMWF model. Q. J. Roy. Met. Soc., DOI: 1256/qj.05.512


Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, and S.K. Gulev Use of indices in characterizing precipitation extremes: a European example. GEWEX News, 15, no.2, 5-6.

Zolina, O., C. Simmer, A. Kapala, and S.K. Gulev On the robustness of the estimates of centennial-scale variability in heavy precipitation from station data over Europe. Geophys. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, doi:10.1029/2005GL023231.


Gulev, S.K. and V. Grigorieva Last century changes in ocean wind wave height from global visual wave data. Geophys. Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L24302, doi:10.1029/2004GL021040.

Zolina, O., A. Kapala, C. Simmer, and S.K. Gulev Analysis of extreme precipitation over Europe from different reanalyses: a comparative assessment. Global and Planetary Change, 44 (2004) 129–161.


Gulev, S.K., V. Grigorieva, K.M.Selemenov, and O. Zolina Evaluation of surface winds and waves from volunatary observing ship data. Advances in Applications of Marine Climatology, WMO Guide to the Application in Marine Climatology, WMO, Geneva, 53-67.

P. D.Cotton, P.D.; P. G. Challenor, L. Redbourn-Marsh; S. K. Gulev, A. Sterl; R. S. Bortkovskii An intercomparison fo voluntary observing, satellite data and modeling wave climatologies. Advances in Applications of Marine Climatology, WMO Guide to the Application in Marine Climatology, WMO, Geneva, 127-138.

Jung, T., M. Hilmer, E. Ruprecht, S. Kleppek, S.K. Gulev, and O. Zolina Characteristics of the recent eastward shift of interannual NAO variability. J. Climate, 16, 3371-3382.


Zolina, O., and S.K.Gulev Improving accuracy of mapping cyclone numbers and frequencies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 130, 748-759.


Ametistova, L, S.K.Gulev, and S.Dobroliubov Surface regional heat and fresh water imbalances in the North Atlantic from surface meteorological and sub-surface hysdrographic data. Oceanology, 40, 126-139.


Taylor, P.K., B.Barnier, F.Bradley, T.Charlock, P.Gleckler, S.K.Gulev, M.Kubota, K.Kutsuwada, D.Legler, R.Lindau, D.Rothrock, J.Schulz, A. da Silva, A.Sterl, G.White Intercomparison and Validation of Ocean-Atmosphere Flux Fields. Final Report of the WCRP/SCOR Worksing Group on Air-Sea Fluxes. WMO/TD-112, Geneva, Switserland, 304pp.

Grigoriev, S., S.K.Gulev, and O. Zolina Software for storm tracking and atmospheric cyclone analysis. Eos Transactions, 81, No. 16, 170-171.


Gulev, S.K. and L. Hasse Changes of wind waves in the North Atlantic over the last 30 years. Int.J.Climatol., 19, 720-744.


Gulev, S.K. and L. Hasse North Atlantic wind waves and wind stress from voluntary observing data. J.Phys.Oceanogr., 28, .1107-1130.

Gulev, S.K., D. Cotton and A. Sterl Intercomparison of the North Atlantic wave climatology from voluntary observing ships, satellite data and modelling. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 23, n.7/8, 587-592.


Gulev, S.K. and J. Tonkacheev Investigation of the Ocean-Atmosphere Interaction in the North Atlantic mid-latitude Frontal Zone. The Air-Sea Interface, Editors: M.Donelan, W.Hui and W. Plant, RSMAS, Miami, 535-542.

in the agenda
IMILAST – establishing more truth in numerical cyclone tracking

SAIL/IORAS together with as many as 12 other groups around the world started a project focused on the development of comprehensive intercomparison and validation of numerical schemes for tracking cyclones.

Surface energy fluxes and climate science: A concept paper of Sergey Gulev, Chris Fairall and Vladimir Riabinin (towards the JSC-29 meeting)

Better climate observation and prediction can only be achieved if we minimize the uncertainties of the global energy balance and increase the accuracy of the estimation of variability of air-sea fluxes on all time scales.
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More of MORE: "Polarstern" covers Capetown-Europe section with a joint German-Russian radiation team onboard

During 20+ days from 12 April 2007 to 5 May 2007 German research icebreaker Polarstern with chief scientist Andreas Macke and our team member Alexey Sinitsyn onboard measured radiation at sea surface under the MORE (Meridional Oceanic Radiation Experiment). This is the 6th in the series of MORE cruises.

NEMO-based DRAKKAR Global Ocean hindcast at eddy-permitting resolution

DRAKKAR community has compiled the pilot hindcast of the World Ocean circulation in eddy-permitting resolution using DRAKKAR hierarchy of OGCMs based on the NEMO system.

SINGAPORE: SMALL ISLAND AND BIG CLIMATE ISSUES: Local downscaling of climate change is on the way

In April 2007 we started the regional climate downscaling project, targeted at sea level and ocean wind wave extremes for Singapore - one of the Asian hi-tech and financial capitals. This small 24-months project is funded by the Tropical Marine Science Institute of the National University of Singapore

© 2016